NEW YORK (ASP) - For investors in the stock market, everything outside of
what is earning companies noise to a large extent.
The quarter earnings reports from January to March to start small in this week
and they are sure to look good. Because the work is to improve, but also because
the economy was so bad last year it will take time for companies to post better
numbers. What do you want to know the investors now is whether companies can
maintain the good news to come.
The early recovery of the profits of heavy cost-cutting. Away by cutting costs,
companies can generate profits business much less than it was before the
recession began at the end of 2007. Then, the bottom of the smaller companies
recently got a boost from government stimulus spending and heavy interest rates
are low standard. Investors will be looking for signs that companies can
continue to do better even after the government canceled support in emergency
situations and companies do more than just replacing depletion.
"In response to a big question on many people's minds is: Well, what is the work
next?" Said Stud Schweitzer, global markets strategist at JP Morgan, especially
in New York.
The companies expect to provide and are often much more important than the gains
that the report because investors are paying for the shares for a share of
company profits in the future. In the last week, rose Standard & Poor's 500
Index to a 18-month high amid expectations that companies are becoming stronger.
Estimated earnings growth rate in the first quarter of the companies that make
up the S & P 500 Index from 37 percent, according to analysts polled by Thomson
Reuters. Investors get a taste of the first profits from the first quarter of
the year when major companies such as Alcoa Inc., Intel Corp. and JP Morgan
Chase & Co. report results this week.
"How can we make money?" Said Mike Shear, managing partner in a limited
liability company direct access partners in New York. "If we continue to improve
productivity and this is not something wrong with it, but I think that what we
are looking for is us to provide more things? Do we sell more stuff? A greater
number of people at work?"
Even if the news is encouraging, and investors can still see a decrease in
stocks, at least in the beginning. Turn the stock market in decline, as did
profits in the last two quarters. Once in most of the profits came as well as
expected, emerged as some investors shares and run far enough.
In the October index Standard & Poor's 500 Index 5.6 percent after third-quarter
profit exceeded the year is out. In January when they lost the results of the
last three months of 2009 rolled in, and Standard & Poor's 500 Index 8.1
percent. Market resumed its climb once, and released most of the profits.
There are reasons for optimism that the coming months will show a significant
increase in revenue and higher profits. The best sign is that the government
reported the economy and employment in March at the fastest rate of growth in
three years.
Retailers have been doing better than expected. The government said last month
that retail sales rose in February, despite expectations of analysts because of
bad weather in large parts of the country to keep shoppers away. Last week,
retailers reported sales in stores open at least a year rose more than expected
in March.
Consumer spending is the largest program of the economy, in order to improve he
will not spill over to a huge range of businesses.
He warned Tim Spies, Chief Advisor of the exercise of personal wealth in the
Eisner Law Firm in New York, that consumers still will not be able to spend a
bit more because it is difficult to borrow money, and that unemployment remains
stubbornly high at 9.7 percent.
The Spies pace of the recovery of profits it all comes to jobs, because without
gains in employment, consumers will not spend, and this means that companies
will find it difficult to continue to improve the line of the bottom - the most
important thing that investors in securities care.
"It's all about how quickly and we put a big dent meaningful in the unemployment
rate," said Spies. "Where is going to come from revenue growth when you know the
American consumer has had a glass ceiling and placed on top of them?"
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